Our Final 9 Games. Can we avoid Relegation.

portugull · Post by **portugull** » 24 Mar 2016, 17:59

With 5 weeks to go we enter the business part of the 2015/16 season.

How many points will we need to avoid a double relegation? A study of the remaining fixtures is fascinating as several Clubs who are contenders for the drop have multiple fixtures against other relegation candidates.

Southport who only have 7 games left have 5 of them against Clubs in the bottom 7 as do Altrincham.

Guiseley and Boreham Wood both have 8 games left and have 3 and 4 games respectively against Clubs in the bottom 10.

I think it is a safe bet that Kiddy and Welling will go down.So it looks like the other 2 Clubs to go down will come from this group; Halifax,Boreham Wood, Altrincham, Torquay and Guiseley.

We are the form team with 18 points from the last 24. Guiseley look vulnerable with 7 points from the last 10 games.

I think we need a minimum of 48 points to stay up.Our 3 home games in 8 days against Chester,Tranmere and Altrincham (5th to 12th April) are the key to our survival.

My bet is on Guiseley and Boreham Wood to join Kiddy and Welling but we all know it could come down to Guiseley V TUFC on 30th April.

It is going to be a nail biting 5 weeks.

Gullscorer · Post by **Gullscorer** » 24 Mar 2016, 18:18

We'll be safe well before we play Guiseley.

Post by **Southampton Gull** » 24 Mar 2016, 18:21

It won't be a double relegation either way.

I've never doubted this Board would do right by the Club and I always had faith that Nico would eventually make a good manager for us or someone else if we were silly enough to panic and end his tenure. I still hold that faith today.

arcadia · Post by **arcadia** » 24 Mar 2016, 18:52

These home games should be advertised in every Supermarket Post Office in the bay.

wivelgull · Post by **wivelgull** » 24 Mar 2016, 19:06

I think we will stay up (just).

portugull · Post by **portugull** » 24 Mar 2016, 20:03

Southampton you are quite right of course it would NOT be a double relegation. After the last 8 months it just feels like it.

I feel fairly confident we will escape relegation but the next two games will be very tough as Dover and Eastleigh have a lot to play for. We will do well to get 2 points out of 6.

Jeff · Post by **Jeff** » 24 Mar 2016, 20:46

portugull wrote:Southampton you are quite right of course it would NOT be a double relegation. After the last 8 months it just feels like it.

I feel fairly confident we will escape relegation but the next two games will be very tough as Dover and Eastleigh have a lot to play for. We will do well to get 2 points out of 6.

I'd rather that then playing teams with nothing to play for if I'm honest. How many times have we been there - at the top of the table and playing a struggling side, when we freeze and drop points.

Hopefully the boot can be on the other foot this time and we can be the underdog to scrape a result. Dover have had a fantastic season but the pressure is on now - funny things can happen. Eastleigh have got a woeful away record of late.

Two points from these would do for me, and then we can go from there

Post by **Gulliball** » 24 Mar 2016, 22:11

The next three games are tricky - I think if we can get three points or more from these then we'll still be right in the mix. Anything extra and we'd be in a very strong position. The last few weeks have given us a chance though, and I think the 2 extra points from last Saturday could be crucial come the end of the season.

4 wins from 9 to reach 50 points, if that will even be the total we need. Certainly do-able if we can keep up our recent fighting spirit.

tomogull · Post by **tomogull** » 24 Mar 2016, 23:56

wivelgull wrote:I think we will stay up (just).

Are you talking about Torquay or Whitby ??

Yorkieandy · Post by **Yorkieandy** » 25 Mar 2016, 00:21

You've pissed it man. No worries now. Trauma is over now look to the future. COYY!!

lucy6lucy · Post by **lucy6lucy** » 25 Mar 2016, 02:12

Gulliball wrote:The next three games are tricky - I think if we can get three points or more from these then we'll still be right in the mix. Anything extra and we'd be in a very strong position. The last few weeks have given us a chance though, and I think the 2 extra points from last Saturday could be crucial come the end of the season.

4 wins from 9 to reach 50 points, if that will even be the total we need. Certainly do-able if we can keep up our recent fighting spirit.

4 wins from 9 looks so much easier than naming the sides we have to play. It's do able, but we must not get complacent about being safe.

+Gdog8 · Post by **+Gdog8** » 25 Mar 2016, 06:45

With the boost of Luke Young returning this weekend and him scoring two in a closed door game during the week I'm sure we can survive

Glostergull · Post by **Glostergull** » 25 Mar 2016, 06:46

Wivell. have you been taking your medication. you have forecast every one of our games negatively. yet you now say we will stay up. well with the best will in the world one does not equate with the other.. be consistent. man up and admit your wrong on all of them. at least then we will know for sure your a miserable git.

Jerry · Post by **Jerry** » 25 Mar 2016, 07:08

Yorkieandy wrote:You've pissed it man. No worries now. Trauma is over now look to the future. COYY!!

This is precisely the attitude we don't need.

How many times has a team clawed back a large deficit and then subconsciously taken the foot off the gas, thinking the job is done, and slipped back into trouble?

We've done nothing yet.

Post by **Southampton Gull** » 25 Mar 2016, 09:01

Agree with Jerry. It's possible we could get nothing from the next 5 games which are all very tough games, the last 4 however are all extremely winnable.

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