Our Final 9 Games. Can we avoid Relegation.

standupsitdown · Post by **standupsitdown** » 25 Mar 2016, 21:37

With Boreham Wood having played 2 -3 games more and still in the bottom four and on poor form, I think they are very likely to go down.
That probably makes it one from Torquay, Halifax, Altringham & Guisely. Guisley have been gradually dropping and would probably be my favourite to go. I hope that the cheating goal they scored against Braintree doesn't keep them up - or even mean that we are still at risk on the last day. Knowing Torquay though it will go to the last day.
Dover will be a new ground for me tomorrow - hard to believe that they could be in league Two next year - and another 0.0 will do us fine.

Yorkieandy · Post by **Yorkieandy** » 25 Mar 2016, 23:54

brucie wrote:I don't see any games that are left as being that difficult because its a really crap league to be fair. We are on a good run so long gone are the days where we should be going into any games expecting to get beat. Tough game at Dover maybe but should we be quaking at facing the mighty Eastleigh at home?
Can't see it myself - they are fecking rubbish. Overpaid and overhyped - How did they get on today? - Oh yes failed to beat the mighty Welling Utd at home (who incidentally played nearly all the game with ten men)

Then there is Gateshead - Stuffed 3-0 on their own ground today by Macclesfield who we have beaten about sixteen times already this season. There is nothing much to fear amongst this rabble.

100% spot on and the right 'attitude' :Oops:

First and only time i'll say this but I 100% agree with Brucie.

wivelgull · Post by **wivelgull** » 26 Mar 2016, 09:46

I've always agreed with brucie.

jimhart33 · Post by **jimhart33** » 26 Mar 2016, 12:11

Hoping for draws today from
Halifax v Altringham
Southport v Guiseley
Every match our rivals do not win is great for us.
Then 3 wins will probable be enough for us.

portugull · Post by **portugull** » 26 Mar 2016, 13:53

Halifax 0-0 with Altrincham at half time.

standupsitdown · Post by **standupsitdown** » 26 Mar 2016, 20:12

I think it will go to the last day - that is the Torquay way.
Hopefully we will only need a point and not to rely on other results, but at worst I think we'll need to beat Guiseley to stay up.
(and I've just realised that is a 5pm kick off which isn't best for a day trip to Yorkshire),

Modgull · Post by **Modgull** » 27 Mar 2016, 11:17

Yesterday was a disaster, not because of the result but because of the injury to Berry. I can't see us winning three games in the last eight - not now with our defence in tatters. Perhaps we could scrape two wins - Alty and Barrow - and three draws - Chester, Bromley and Guisley but three defeats - Eastleigh, Gateshead and Tranmere. That would mean 47 points. We might just survive on that but I agree it will probably all rest on that final game.

wivelgull · Post by **wivelgull** » 27 Mar 2016, 11:24

Changed my mind - No.

Lloyder5 · Post by **Lloyder5** » 27 Mar 2016, 13:03

We have been involved in a mini-season in a mini-division since January. We are still capable of staying up. Berry is a big loss, it will be interesting to see the solution, maybe Rees, I would prefer to see Smith in the centre.

brucie · Post by **brucie** » 27 Mar 2016, 13:08

Yes I do agree yesterdays match was a disaster, more for the injury than the result. To think that if the referee had applied the rules that result could have been completely different. Its all very hard to take.

Dave_Pougher · Post by **Dave_Pougher** » 27 Mar 2016, 15:44

brucie wrote:Yes I do agree yesterdays match was a disaster, more for the injury than the result. To think that if the referee had applied the rules that result could have been completely different. Its all very hard to take.

Agreed, authorities need to uninstall this mistaken belief that the letter of the law doesn't apply early in the game that seems to be endemic throughout the game.

tomogull · Post by **tomogull** » 27 Mar 2016, 17:04

wivelgull wrote:Changed my mind - No.

Obviously, Wivel getting his Whitby and Torquay muddled up again. In spite of Whitbly getting a creditable point away to Salford in a 0 - 0 draw, Mickleover, breathing down their necks, had a home win. I agree with Brucie - the Gulls will stay up.

lucy6lucy · Post by **lucy6lucy** » 28 Mar 2016, 20:09

Now it is 7 games left. Gateshead are so unpredictable, I reckon we can win this one. But if we don't beat Altrincham and Chester we are going to face an uphill struggle to stay up. Chesters late late equaliser today has helped us big time. Surprised Halifax got well beaten at barrow. It is so tight and hard to call.

standupsitdown · Post by **standupsitdown** » 28 Mar 2016, 20:44

I posted this in the Eastleigh match thread but it probably should have been here - And I'll add to admitting to being wrong about Boreham Wood in my post last week - having seen their fixtures and them beating a Dover team who we just lost 5.0 to, I no longer think they are by any means certain to go down.

Iâ€™ve estimated a two point range for each club involved.
I see us beating Altringham & Barrow and drawing with Chester, Bromley & Guiseley â€“ for 47 points â€“ beat Chester or Guiseley and itâ€™s 49.
I think 49 will be enough but 47 may not be.
These estimates include us beating Altringham and not losing to Guiseley. If we donâ€™t get those results we are likely to go down.
It will go to the last game but hopefully weâ€™ll be ahead of Guiseley and only need a draw.

Boreham Wood 48 â€“ 50
Halifax 47 - 49
Torquay 47 - 49
Altringham 46 - 48
Guiseley 44 -46
Welling
Kidderminster

Modgull · Post by **Modgull** » 28 Mar 2016, 23:25

Well, I never expected to get anything out of today so my prediction of 47 points remains. It will certainly be a white knuckle ride to the end of the season but 47 should keep us up I feel.

Torquay United Fans Forum